This article builds off of past research on the accuracy-confidence (AC) relationship in eyewitness testimony. Past research has found that the accuracy-confidence relationship is weak, although more recently some have challenged this conclusion
Past research by Robinson and Johnson has shown that the AC relationship is stronger in recall than it is in recognition. In the present research the authors wanted to understand whether process factors (e.g. processing speed) or content factors (e.g. memorial quality, vividness) were better predictors of the AC relationship.
Subjects watched a shorted video depicting a theft. Twenty-four hours later (study 1) or 5 minutes later (study 2) subjects returned and were tested on their memory for the film.
Subjects in Study 1 answered either a four alternative forced choice test or a cued recall test. Subjects in Study 2 answered either a four alternative forced choice test, an old/new recognition test in which 25% of the items were "old", an old/new recognition test in which 50% of the items were "old", or a cued recall test.
Additional Measures included:
Confidence on a 9 point scaleResults
Response time (process measure)
Subject's estimate of their response time (process measure)
Subject's estimate of their effort (process measure)
Memorial Vividness (content measure)
As in their previous research, the AC relationship was stronger in recall than in recognition. This was both because recall subjects were more confident in their accurate answers and because recall subjects were less confident in their inaccurate measures.
Memorial Vividness was a better predictor of confidence than were any of the process measures. With one exception, memorial vivideness was a better predictor of accuracy than any of the content measures.
Moreover, in a survey study they report, subjects reported that they are more likely to use vividness as a cue to memory accuracy than any of the process measures. This suggests that people have a naive theory of memory accuracy.
They argue that vividness is a a better cue to accuracy in recall than in recognition and that this is why the AC relationship is stronger in recall than in recognition.
To establish this mediational role the authors sought to establish (1) the IV (recall vs. recognition) predicts the mediator (vividness-accuracy) (2) the mediator (vividness-accuracy) predicts the DV (confidence-accuracy) and (3) the mediator still predicts the DV even when the IV is controlled for.
All three of these criterion were met, suggesting that the strength vividness-accuracy correlation predicts the differences between recall and recognition.
Basically, the RT salience and RT feedback manipulations had no effect on confidence or accuracy.
Second, the authors point out that although much eyewitness testimony research uses recognition, it is probably the case that recall memory is as important or more important than recognition memory in forensic settings.
Third, the authors point out that some theories of meta-memory argue for fluency as being and important determinant of confidence and that others argue for the importance of experiential details. With regard to the AC relationship the authors argue that it is experiential detail that provides the best account of the AC relationship and that fluency has very little role.
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